π At a Glance
- US Fed Funds Rate: 3.64 (as of 2026-01-01)
- US 30Y Mortgage: 6.11 (as of 2026-02-05)
- ECB Policy Rate: 2.0 [FRED:ECBDFR] as of 2026-02-05
- BoE Bank Rate: 3.75 (as of 2025-12-18)
πΊπΈ United States
- Why Building Alone Wonβt Solve the Housing Crisis β Rising insurance costs and housing type imbalances hinder progress in addressing the housing crisis, as highlighted by two recent reports.
- Why Are Home Purchase Cancellations on the Rise? β Home purchase cancellations surged by 14.9% in December, with over 40,000 agreements terminated compared to the previous year.
- They Made the Basement the Most Attractive Part of the House β An architect has successfully converted his Washington, D.C. rowhouse's unfinished basement into a luxurious in-law suite.
πͺπΊ Europe
- Home Office says nearly 60,000 people deported from UK or left voluntarily since 2024 election β The Home Office reports nearly 60,000 migrants have been deported or left the UK since the Labour government took office.
- No 10 defies calls to sack Morgan McSweeney over Mandelson appointment β Downing Street stands by Morgan McSweeney amid calls for his resignation over the controversial Mandelson appointment.
- Trump waters down criticism of UKβs Chagos Islands deal after call with Starmer β Donald Trump has softened his stance on the UK's Chagos Islands deal, calling it the "best" decision by PM Keir Starmer.
π Asia
- Amazon joins Big Tech AI spending spree β Amazon's shares declined after announcing substantial AI investments, raising investor concerns about the tech sector's spending.
- Bitcoin falls to lowest value since Trump took office β Bitcoin's value plummeted to its lowest since Trump's presidency, despite his endorsement of the cryptocurrency.
- Bank hints at rate cuts, but don't expect Covid-era mortgage deals β The Bank of England hinted at potential rate cuts, but warned against expecting mortgage deals as favorable as during the Covid era.
π― GPT Strategy
πΊπΈ United States
- **Position in Multifamily REITs**: Invest in multifamily REITs to capitalize on rising rental demand amid housing imbalances. *Risk: Economic downturns may impact rental income stability.*
- **Explore Homebuilder ETFs**: Consider homebuilder ETFs as cancellations may lead to reduced supply, potentially stabilizing prices. *Risk: Continued economic uncertainty could further dampen demand.*
- **Invest in Renovation-focused Funds**: Target funds focused on home renovations and conversions, like in-law suites, to benefit from evolving housing needs. *Risk: Regulatory changes may affect renovation projects.*
πͺπΊ Europe
- **Position in UK Residential REITs**: Increased migration may boost demand for rental properties. Risk: Potential policy changes affecting immigration could alter demand dynamics.
- **Invest in European Infrastructure ETFs**: Government stability and migration trends may drive infrastructure investment. Risk: Political controversies could impact funding and project timelines.
- **Consider Macro Hedging with Currency ETFs**: Softening political stances may affect GBP stability; hedge against currency fluctuations. Risk: Market sentiment can shift rapidly based on political developments.
π Asia
- **Position in Defensive REITs**: Consider investing in healthcare and residential REITs to hedge against tech sector volatility and potential economic slowdown. Risk: Interest rate fluctuations.
- **Diversify with Bond ETFs**: Allocate funds to bond ETFs to capitalize on potential rate cuts by the Bank of England, while mitigating equity market risks. Risk: Inflation may erode returns.
- **Explore Stable Commodities**: Invest in commodities like gold as a hedge against Bitcoin volatility and economic uncertainty, providing a safe haven for capital. Risk: Price fluctuations based on global demand.
Not financial advice. Educational insights only.
#RealEstate #Housing #Macro #US #Europe #Asia

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